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The results

Hopefully by now, the objective and methodology of LRP

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Год за годом

Might be slightly skewed right, but if all of these pitchers

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Full Leaders

You’ll notice that the RP have extreme high and extreme low

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Conclusion

However, Hendricks aside, a lot of the names at the top

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General news

  • HOW MUCH WILL HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE MATTER IN 2020?

    HOW MUCH WILL HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE MATTER IN 2020?

    The home team has won approximately 53.5% of all MLB regular season games from 2010-2019. In a normal season, the home team has a small but significant edge over an evenly matched opponent. However, the upcoming 2020 season is far from normal. We know home field advantage exists in baseball, but do we know why?…


  • Pitcher Launch Angle, Visualized, Part 1

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  • REVISITING KS AND BBS

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  • INTRODUCING A DYNAMIC HARD HIT RATE AND “TRUEHIT”

    INTRODUCING A DYNAMIC HARD HIT RATE AND “TRUEHIT”

    At the beginning of April, I asked this question to my Twitter followers: Given just the video, would you consider this ball hit hard? (poll below) — Connor Kurcon (@ckurcon) April 8, 2020 It’s a pretty simple question, but one without a simple response. The attached poll went roughly as I expected, with 60% of the responders…


Pitch Type

Originally, LRP was going to just consist of count and location. Then, as I began to bounce the idea off of various Six Man Rotation minds (just to make sure it wasn’t a stupid endevor), Jack Boulia said he had had ideas that overlapped with this idea in the past and that he thought pitch type was important in something like this. I figured I might try to include pitch type in future iterations, but upon sleeping on it, Jack was right.

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PCRA

  • LRP: QUANTIFYING THE LOCATION ASPECT OF COMMAND

    LRP: QUANTIFYING THE LOCATION ASPECT OF COMMAND

    Command. It’s a term in baseball that some people have trouble defining, and yet everyone knows it when they see it. Everyone knows that this is what elite fastball command looks like. Just like everyone knows that this is what elite breaking ball command looks like. It’s different from control; control is simply the ability…


  • PCRA UPDATE II: NORMALIZATION

    PCRA UPDATE II: NORMALIZATION

    I’ve made some changes to the pCRA formula based on a few things, including how it has been doing this year compared to some of its peers like xFIP and SIERA. If you read the initial piece (found above), I compared the root mean squared error (RMSE) of pCRA to next season’s ERA to both…


  • CRA UPDATE: PCRA – THE BEST ERA ESTIMATOR OF THE STATCAST ERA?

    CRA UPDATE: PCRA – THE BEST ERA ESTIMATOR OF THE STATCAST ERA?

    I think it did it pretty good job for what I set out to accomplish. I wanted to know how a pitcher pitched over a given season, and along with the pitchers K%, BB%, and batted ball quality, we could see exactly why a pitcher was either succeeding or having troubles. For that reason, it…


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So, in order to not reduce sample sizes too small, pitch types were broken down into 3 classifications – fastballs, breaking balls, and offspeed pitches. I may experiment with separating the “breaking” classification into a curveball family and a slider family in the future, but for now, they remain together.

Wade Warren

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Fantasy

  • BENEFICIARIES OF THE 2019 “DRAGLESS” BASEBALL

    BENEFICIARIES OF THE 2019 “DRAGLESS” BASEBALL

    It’s no secret that MLB has gone through many alterations of the baseball over the past 5 seasons. There have been incredible articles on the matter. In 2017, Ben Lindburgh of The Ringer, in collaboration with Mitchell Litchman, studied game used balls from as far back as 2015, finding that, among other things, the seams…


  • IT’S ALWAYS “SONNY” IN CINCINNATI

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Sparkman

SPARKMAN IS A PROJECTION SYSTEM THAT
USES COLLEGE AND MINOR LEAGUE DATA TO PROJECT
PITCHER PERFORMANCE THROUGH AGE 29

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